Good Evening:
High pressure remains anchored to our north. It continues to funnel cold air into our area, which is helping low pressure to spin up in the eastern Mediterranean. Hence, for the next few days there should be periodic periods of rain from about the center of the country to the north, with a few isolated showers further south.
The rain doesn't look to be too heavy, but it is persistent. Moreover, temperatures will be cooling at upper levels which could lead to greater instability and possibly short-lived heavier convective storms. The winter-like cold weather should persist into Sunday, before the high pressure moves off to the east and warmer weather and temperatures return.
Barry Lynn
Thursday, April 18, 2013
Monday, April 15, 2013
Weather It Is (A Pleasant Day Followed by...)
Good Morning:
Today is turning out to be a really nice day weather wise, which is appropriate for those who must or wish to pay their respects and give their thoughts to those who made our lives in the land of Israel possible today.
The nice weather will come to an end tonight, though. High pressure has anchored itself to our north. It is holding at bay weather systems that until now have kept us on the southern edge of the storm track. Instead, cold air flowing clockwise around this high is helping to spin up weather systems moving across the Mediterranean. One such system will impact us late tonight and early tomorrow morning, with some light rain scattered across the area. Temperatures will feel a bit chilly in moderately strong winds.
On Independence Day, there will be some scattered showers (mostly in the north) before a stronger system moves in Tuesday night with a more significant rain.
Looking ahead, the cold air should last until the end of the week; afterwards, we should return to warm (but not hot) and pleasant spring weather.
Barry Lynn
Today is turning out to be a really nice day weather wise, which is appropriate for those who must or wish to pay their respects and give their thoughts to those who made our lives in the land of Israel possible today.
The nice weather will come to an end tonight, though. High pressure has anchored itself to our north. It is holding at bay weather systems that until now have kept us on the southern edge of the storm track. Instead, cold air flowing clockwise around this high is helping to spin up weather systems moving across the Mediterranean. One such system will impact us late tonight and early tomorrow morning, with some light rain scattered across the area. Temperatures will feel a bit chilly in moderately strong winds.
On Independence Day, there will be some scattered showers (mostly in the north) before a stronger system moves in Tuesday night with a more significant rain.
Looking ahead, the cold air should last until the end of the week; afterwards, we should return to warm (but not hot) and pleasant spring weather.
Barry Lynn
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Weather It Is (A Rainy Independence Day?)
Good Evening:
People are asking me, what is the weather going to be on Israeli Independence day. Well, I wasn't very forthcoming because at this time of year one doesn't think about rain, so I just referred them to our web site.
One might think that it always gets warm before Israeli Independence day, and then gets cool just in time for the ceremonies. I did mention this, but it turns out that this year should be different.
It won't really get warm before the big day, but it should be sunny and pleasant for those who must honor those who gave their lives so others could live in a relative peace and prosperity. However, winds should pick up ahead of a strong storm dropping out of the north and west as the day progresses. Then, rain should move in at night - most likely after the fireworks.
This storm is more of a wintertime storm than a spring tropical storm, and it may bring a welcome rain. Of course, the rain may not feel welcome on Israeli Independence day, but the weather doesn't usually pay attention to our personal plans.
Looking far ahead into next week, this rainy system should be followed by a period of warm days and cool nights.
Barry Lynn
People are asking me, what is the weather going to be on Israeli Independence day. Well, I wasn't very forthcoming because at this time of year one doesn't think about rain, so I just referred them to our web site.
One might think that it always gets warm before Israeli Independence day, and then gets cool just in time for the ceremonies. I did mention this, but it turns out that this year should be different.
It won't really get warm before the big day, but it should be sunny and pleasant for those who must honor those who gave their lives so others could live in a relative peace and prosperity. However, winds should pick up ahead of a strong storm dropping out of the north and west as the day progresses. Then, rain should move in at night - most likely after the fireworks.
This storm is more of a wintertime storm than a spring tropical storm, and it may bring a welcome rain. Of course, the rain may not feel welcome on Israeli Independence day, but the weather doesn't usually pay attention to our personal plans.
Looking far ahead into next week, this rainy system should be followed by a period of warm days and cool nights.
Barry Lynn
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
Weather It Is (Dust and Rain)
Good Afternoon:
The weather map continues to show change from one day to the next. For instance, Thursday will feature an influx of dust ahead of our next storm, to be followed by a period of light to moderate rainfall from the north to the center of the country. The weather will then warm up early next week, cool off a bit, and then possibly cool off again ahead of our next (hopefully) more rainy weather system.
It seems that "spring-like" weather came early this year with storms preferring to coat us with dust, rather than liquid water. It hasn't really rained since early February, which is about month and half too early in the season to end our rainy weather.
Otherwise, we've been providing dust forecast maps on our maps page. We're working to include this information directly in our forecasts on the main forecast page.
Lastly, we're considering to include in our forecasts the probability of missile attacks, depending on weather the new government treats these attacks like an act of nature, or not (Hamas).
Barry Lynn
The weather map continues to show change from one day to the next. For instance, Thursday will feature an influx of dust ahead of our next storm, to be followed by a period of light to moderate rainfall from the north to the center of the country. The weather will then warm up early next week, cool off a bit, and then possibly cool off again ahead of our next (hopefully) more rainy weather system.
It seems that "spring-like" weather came early this year with storms preferring to coat us with dust, rather than liquid water. It hasn't really rained since early February, which is about month and half too early in the season to end our rainy weather.
Otherwise, we've been providing dust forecast maps on our maps page. We're working to include this information directly in our forecasts on the main forecast page.
Lastly, we're considering to include in our forecasts the probability of missile attacks, depending on weather the new government treats these attacks like an act of nature, or not (Hamas).
Barry Lynn
Friday, March 22, 2013
Weather It Is (The Little Storm That Couldn't; A Global Warming World)
The drought continues to deepen -- it really hasn't rained a substantial amount in 6 weeks.
When we look at the GFS 10 day forecast or the GFS ensemble forecast, we see the possibility of rain. However, there are always several members or more of this ensemble that indicate that the storm will either weaken or pass by to our north, and by the time the storm should have arrived, all the ensemble members agree that the storm will -- for the most part -- miss us again.
In fact, this Friday evening and Shabbat one of these storms will impact our area, but the impact will be just a glancing blow. One interesting fact is that there is still plenty of cold air in Europe, and the storm track is still fairly active. It looks, though, like it has retreated a bit to the north, and the retreat to the north has been (for our sake), about a month too early in the winter season.
One predicted consequence of global warming is that storms will be less frequent, come later in the season, and depart earlier. There is also an indication that storms -- when they do occur -- will be more ferocious -- heavier rain and wind. This winter is -- quite possibly -- a glimpse into a world impacted by global warming.
As for Pesach, the active Jet stream will continue, but there will also be at least a few days of warmer weather before the next possible storm late next week.
Shabbat Shalom; have a good Pessach,
Barry Lynn
When we look at the GFS 10 day forecast or the GFS ensemble forecast, we see the possibility of rain. However, there are always several members or more of this ensemble that indicate that the storm will either weaken or pass by to our north, and by the time the storm should have arrived, all the ensemble members agree that the storm will -- for the most part -- miss us again.
In fact, this Friday evening and Shabbat one of these storms will impact our area, but the impact will be just a glancing blow. One interesting fact is that there is still plenty of cold air in Europe, and the storm track is still fairly active. It looks, though, like it has retreated a bit to the north, and the retreat to the north has been (for our sake), about a month too early in the winter season.
One predicted consequence of global warming is that storms will be less frequent, come later in the season, and depart earlier. There is also an indication that storms -- when they do occur -- will be more ferocious -- heavier rain and wind. This winter is -- quite possibly -- a glimpse into a world impacted by global warming.
As for Pesach, the active Jet stream will continue, but there will also be at least a few days of warmer weather before the next possible storm late next week.
Shabbat Shalom; have a good Pessach,
Barry Lynn
Thursday, March 14, 2013
Weather It Is (Was that too hot or too cold?)
Spring has sprung, or has it?
We've had the warmest weather of the late winter and Friday's weather will feel downright hot. Yet, one might be forgiven for feeling like we're headed for a roller coaster ride!
By Shabbat, it just won't feel like a Kansas summer day anymore, but more like the Middle East (particularly Israel), where our emotions can go up and down depending on the latest happenings (but, preferably up!).
We've been watching a developing winter storm for the past few days. It is swinging through central Europe and it is headed our way. The problem, so to speak, is that hard on its heels a faster moving pocket of energy that (in many of our ensemble forecasts) rips this late winter storm to shreds, at least in the middle atmosphere, causing our storm to lose its trough-like sharpness before blasting us with a winter chill.
There still are three ensemble members holding our for a more intense winter storm, and hence, there remains the possibility of light to moderate rain mixing with snow early next week. In any case, all the ensemble indicate that it's going to feel chilly, and our summer like weather will only be a memory, even as the week progresses into next.
Barry Lynn
We've had the warmest weather of the late winter and Friday's weather will feel downright hot. Yet, one might be forgiven for feeling like we're headed for a roller coaster ride!
By Shabbat, it just won't feel like a Kansas summer day anymore, but more like the Middle East (particularly Israel), where our emotions can go up and down depending on the latest happenings (but, preferably up!).
We've been watching a developing winter storm for the past few days. It is swinging through central Europe and it is headed our way. The problem, so to speak, is that hard on its heels a faster moving pocket of energy that (in many of our ensemble forecasts) rips this late winter storm to shreds, at least in the middle atmosphere, causing our storm to lose its trough-like sharpness before blasting us with a winter chill.
There still are three ensemble members holding our for a more intense winter storm, and hence, there remains the possibility of light to moderate rain mixing with snow early next week. In any case, all the ensemble indicate that it's going to feel chilly, and our summer like weather will only be a memory, even as the week progresses into next.
Barry Lynn
Thursday, March 7, 2013
Weather It Is (Almost Perfect)
Good Afternoon:
The weather has been a bit cool, but overall it's been pretty sunny and it's no longer very windy.
The next few days will be neither here nor there, and there is a chance of light rain early next week.
We're basically along the southern edge of a developing large trough of winter weather over Europe. This winter trough should slowly, but inexorably push itself southward, as well as amplify.
As the trough amplifies, the winds will pick up out of the south next week and we are likely to see the hottest weather of the new year by mid-week.
But then, in a cruel twist of fate, the trough may just come crashing through, sweeping away the warm/hot weather (locusts, frogs, etc), bringing with it our first real rain in a month's time. In fact, this trough of cold weather may be just so cold, that it freezes those aspiring rain drops and turns them into snowflakes. At the moment, this (snowy) scenario is about a 20% chance, but the overall pattern looks potentially wintery. So, don't put away those winter clothes just yet!
Barry Lynn
The weather has been a bit cool, but overall it's been pretty sunny and it's no longer very windy.
The next few days will be neither here nor there, and there is a chance of light rain early next week.
We're basically along the southern edge of a developing large trough of winter weather over Europe. This winter trough should slowly, but inexorably push itself southward, as well as amplify.
As the trough amplifies, the winds will pick up out of the south next week and we are likely to see the hottest weather of the new year by mid-week.
But then, in a cruel twist of fate, the trough may just come crashing through, sweeping away the warm/hot weather (locusts, frogs, etc), bringing with it our first real rain in a month's time. In fact, this trough of cold weather may be just so cold, that it freezes those aspiring rain drops and turns them into snowflakes. At the moment, this (snowy) scenario is about a 20% chance, but the overall pattern looks potentially wintery. So, don't put away those winter clothes just yet!
Barry Lynn
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