The latest forecasts from 18 GMT show that the highest probability of heavy rain should be from Jerusalem south through Hebron. The timing for this is mid-afternoon. The amount of rain forecast presents a potentially dangerous situation for anyone hiking in the Dead Sea Basin, as well as for roads that interest river run-off locations. Also heavy rain can lead to ponding of water on roads, and the potential for cars hydroplaning -- leading possibly to mortal accidents.
Rain is also expected in Tel-Aviv with heavier showers east of the city. The 1.3 km forecast, for instance, still shows 25 to 50 mm, but the 4 km ensemble shows less than 25 mm in 3 hours.
I will update around noon, if necessary.
Dust concentrations will lower from mid-day onwards.
Barry
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