Weather It Is (Correcton: Winter Storm Update #4)

Our winter storm has arrived and is potentially a very dangerous storm.  Moreover, the cold air should arrive in the central part of the country between 2 and 5 P.M, making for a slippery and icy ride home as heavy rain transitions to snow and ice. 

Temperatures will be warm to start, and then cool off rapidly -- so it is hard to judge how much of an accumulation will occur with the rain to ice-to-snow, but because the precipitation should come down fast an accumulation is likely.

Tonight, the cold air at upper levels will moderate towards morning and the precipitation should transition to mixed snow and rain, and then rain either late tonight or tomorrow (Thursday).

However, the ensemble forecast is predicting that the strongest winter blast will occur late Thursday into Shabbat.  Again, the ensemble is predicting a drop in temperatures to the coldest values we've seen in years.  The cold weather will be accompanied by snow (the real white stuff), if this forecast holds up. 

Updates should follow, God willing

(I believe that there is an error in the display of the forecasts (at least late this night).  See the forecasts for Jerusalem and Efrat below, which indicate heavy wet snow in the mid-to-late afternoon.

Barry Lynn

Efrat

 

Jerusalem

Wed Feb 29 2012 - 12:00:00	Sprinkles	9.7 °C	5.16	49. %	Strong	SW	0.38	0.62	9.87
Wed Feb 29 2012 - 15:00:00	Heavy Wet-Snow-Rain	4.1 °C	-2.16	87. %	Strong	NW	9.29	9.91	19.16
Wed Feb 29 2012 - 18:00:00	Light Wet-Snow-Rain	3.8 °C	-1.89	85. %	Strong	W	1.44	11.35	20.6
Wed Feb 29 2012 - 21:00:00	Light Wet-Snow-Rain	3.3 °C	-3.04	90. %	Strong	W	2.06	13.41	22.66
Thu Mar 01 2012 - 00:00:00	Light Rain	2.9 °C	-4.20	87. %	Gale	W	1.43	14.84	24.09
Thu Mar 01 2012 - 03:00:00	Moderate Wet-Snow-Rain	3.0 °C	-4.20	46. %	Gale	SW	3.57	18.41	27.66
Thu Mar 01 2012 - 06:00:00	Moderate Rain	3.1 °C	-3.80	50. %	Strong	SW	3.16	21.57	30.82