Good Evening:
"Tell no one we have spoken, for all shall reveal itself in due course (Everafter: A Cinderella Story)." One has the feeling that whether we speak about it or not, we're pretty much going to find out what happens next Tuesday, election Day, by sometime next Wednesday. If we wait a few more months, we'll also know whether this coming winter will be rainy just like the last.
Actually, the next two weeks pretty much look the same. Some meandering of the temperatures up and down -- just like the poll numbers -- but nothing really changing over time. Election day should be quite nice, weatherwise. However, if we head up to the upper atmosphere (at 500 mb), we'll find a dramatic decrease sometime before election day. This means the upper air circulation associated with the Indian Monsoon is weakening and moving away from our area, and our skies can now start to produce puffy cumulus clouds as a prelude to fall and winter.
Interestingly, there are plenty of rumors about this coming fall and winter's weather. We heard that it's going to be very rainy in the next few months from those who prefer to reveal what will be instead of to wait until it actually happens. The American forecast model actually shows warmer and drier weather than usual, but the more reliable European model shows a fairly rainy fall with temperatures a bit warmer than usual. December is forecast to be have quite heavier than normal rain amounts, with normal temperatures. The New Year could bring in normal temperatures and normal amounts of rain.
The predictions are also out for this Tuesday's election -- and they show no change from the previous election result.
Afterall, the folks down south have been living with the the occasional and not so occasional missile attack for the last several years, so why should more people vote for the government than before. Perhaps than it was poetic justice that our Prime Minister had to be rushed off the stage because of such an attack. "You can't stop me," they probably shouted from somewhere in Gaza.
Of course, the true response would be: we didn't try because we'd rather live (or let someone else live with) the situation than take concrete and difficult steps to stop the attacks.
While focused on its reelection, one wonders if our government ever stops to think that you can only "buy" quiet so long before you just can't. Like a Ponzi scheme that can only be sustained so long, I worry that the payoffs will one day be too small to maintain the quiet, and then it won't be safe for our future Prime Minister to campaign in Tel-Aviv as well.
As for the rest of us, we'll be like all those Ponzi scheme losers. Out of luck, but hopefully not out of life as well.
Barry Lynn
