Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Weather It Is (On the Up, then on the Down)

Good Afternoon:

We're going to seesaw a bit temperature wise during the next week, with a more significant mass of colder winter air arriving early next week.  This system, approaching from the west, will bring the possibility of rain.   This is contrast to the heavy snow and frigid temperatures forecast for the US east coast, including NYC.

The chance of rain early next week is about 80%, with amounts forecast to be 10 mm or greater in many locations.  However, this is really a drop in the drought bucket.

I've heard that the last time it was so dry was 1950, the same year it snowed in Tel-Aviv.  It was quite dry in 2010, but I believe that February and March turned out to be quite wet. Looking at the Climate Forecast System's temperature and precipitation forecast we see that it shows normal for February, March, and April. If we end up with just normal, then we're going to be far below normal precipitation wise for the season.

One person suggested that we might end the way we started, with half our season's rain amounts arriving (again) via Siberia -- which would be ideal if you like snow, and you'd like the snow to melt and run-off into our reservoirs, instead of the sea.

Barry Lynn

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