Weather It Is (Is That A Forecast?)

Good Evening:

After an absolutely outstanding day (or is it two?), we're headed into more "wintry" like weather.
Cooler air near the surface will advance at a more rapid pace than the last couple of days and will combine with a mid-and upper-level system to create the potential for thundershowers again on Wednesday and Simchat Torah.

This system is a bit stronger than the last one, but it's not the type to produce a general rain -- hence, predicting rain at any location and time is really a "crap-shoot."

The general instability in the weather pattern and resulting uncertainty in the forecast will carry over to late this week (Shabbat) and early next week.  Right now, the global ensemble (GEFS) shows a 30 to 40% chance of our first significant rain Shabbat and Sunday.  On the other hand, the weather may just warm up a bit and make us wonder if winter's advance has stalled.

If you'd like a good day's fun and learning experience, go over to Susyia (it is south on Route 60, about 40 minutes from the Gush Etzion Junction).  Susyia was a Jewish town that existed for many years after the destruction of the second Temple, and then inexplicably the population left.  The city remained buried until a relatively short time ago, and is definitely worth seeing and partaking in the activities at the site. At least during Chol HaMoed, there is a Kosher restaurant type food to be bought.

Modim L'Simcha,

Barry Lynn