Thursday, July 16, 2015

Weather It Is (A bit hot)

Good Morning:

It looks like the typical summertime pattern will "win-out" over the next few days.  This means that temperatures will rise into the low 30s in many locations away from the sea-shore, and even higher in the Jordan and Dead Sea Valleys, as well as southern deserts.  It looks like temperatures will remain summer-like through next week before cooling off slightly the week after.

Fortunately, the temperatures won't be climatology extreme.

Climatology is based on a  long term weather record.  Might we also develop a "Diplomacology."  Based on the long record of relations between countries, I will predict that Iran will develop a nuclear bomb sooner than later, and that they will use their new revenue after sanctions are lifted  not to improve the welfare of their people (as predicted by President Obama), but to fund new terrorist activities.

When the President says that the Iran deal is "a risk we have to take," does he mean the risk of nuclear annihilation? While it is true that increased sanctions might not prevent the Iranians from developing the bomb and that a military strike might not entirely succeed (or even lead to a major war), it isn't nuclear annihilation.

When deciding to protect against a potential severe weather event, one has to weigh the probability of the event against the cost versus potential loss.  When the loss is so potentially high, I believe it necessary to take whatever protective action to prevent the Iranians from building a bomb, while continuing the sanctions until (hopefully) the government is overthrown.

Barry Lynn

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