Thursday, January 25, 2018

Weather It Is (Winter Storm Watch)

Good Evening:

The latest forecasts are now in, and there is a digression between the European (ECMWF) and American Forecast Model (GFS).  Both the GFS and ECMWF bring winter cold, but the ECMWF actually brings precipitation as far south as Jerusalem in the morning hours.  The GFS brings conditions generally favorable for snow, but neither it or the higher resolution WRF brings any precipitation until late in the day.

I plan to make our highest resolution (WRF) forecast update in the early morning hours. By this time, both global forecast models will probably agree how the coming storm will impact our area, and the WRF should tell us what will be -- snow or no snow.

Barry Lynn

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