Weather It Is (Purim and Beyond)

Good Morning:

The weather looks pretty much now like it will look at the end of the week. Neither too warm nor too cool, with a few clouds here or there (depending on where you are).  In fact, the weather just might be perfect for the Jerusalem Marathon.

Yet, there are a few ensemble members that suggest that our sunny weather will be followed early next week by some rain, and there is even one (she, like a ship, perhaps?) who says it will be quite cold and snowy.  This isn't out of the question as the weather map shows extremely cold air over northern Europe and a series of low pressure areas moving across to the south that just might take a bite from this cold air.

We interviewed this ensemble member about her forecasts.  She said: "I know that my brothers and sisters (we're of the GFS family) are predicting pretty much springtime weather or springtime showers, but I'm different.  When they say up, I like to say down.  When they say sun, I like to say, well... I think it's going to snow and that winter will come roaring back." 

We were a little surprised to hear this, so we followed up.  "I've always been quite contrary," as if in explanation.  "In the summer time, for instance, I'll wear my fake fur coat even when its 35 degrees." When I looked at her strangely, she added: "Of course, I'll wear my shorts under the fake-fur."

If you'd like to see "her" for yourself, just go to the web site site and look under GEFS ensemble forecast (e.g 500 mb temperatures).  Of course, by the time you look Purim may be over, and she may be gone by the way of all small chances.  On the other hand, Purim miracles do happen, whether forecast or not.

Barry Lynn