Weather It Is (Yesterday's Weather and the Probability of More)

Good Afternoon:

Yesterday was day full of potential.   The atmosphere was quite moist up to 700 mb, and temperatures were conditionally unstable up to about 550 mb.  By conditionally unstable, I mean that a passing perturbation in the atmosphere should and would have been enough to cause a strong convective storm.  Alas, it was not to be.

Radar showed some light showers over the country yesterday, and as for the probability of more weather -- at least of interest -- we don't see any.  True, temperatures will stay relatively cool during the next couple of weeks, but temperatures aloft should be warming up (that is, the atmosphere will be stabilizing).

There was a welcome and cool breeze that sprung up at the burial ceremony for Yuval Haiman.  It seemed to come out of no where, but there must have been a passing tropical shower -- that evaporated and cooled the atmosphere. The cool breeze spoke about the potential of life, to live life like a a flower of our good deeds.  In this case, a potential unrealised.

We think of weather as being about prediction, but it is really about probability.  We may hide the probability when we speak, but no forecast is really useful without a measure of certainty.

I remember that when we left Gaza that there were those (myself included) who said that this would lead to much greater danger for us than before.  I figured that a few missiles-showers would become missile-storms.  In fact, I placed a very high probability on this happening.  Apparently, others lived on a hope.

After all, Hamas as an ideology that is not really about politics or land, it's about the ability and willingness to murder.  The Palestinian issue is, actually, a side-show to their Raison d'être. This is why I find President Obama and Sect. Kerry's idea to return to the 2012 ceasefire agreement so laughable (or sad).  Agreements are between gentlemen; otherwise they have very little value (and are easily broken).  Insanity is doing the same wrong thing over again and hoping that the results will be different (this time). I hope we will not act thus; Mr. Kerry should be shown the door.

While listening to all the tributes to Yuval, I was reminded of a song (The Answer is Blowing in the Wind). There is not much we can do, except to accept the fact that Yuval gave his life so that we could live -- because there are too many people in the world who don't know that too many people have died.

From:http://www.bobdylan.com/us/songs/blowin-wind

Here's part of the song.

How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, ’n’ how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, ’n’ how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind
The answer is blowin’ in the wind

Barry Lynn