Weather It Is (Tropical Weather)

Good Afternoon:

The weather has turned a bit tropical -- meaning higher humidities.  At the same time temperatures are cooling in the upper atmosphere meaning that the stability of the atmosphere is lowering.

The result will be a chance of more thundershowers.  Some of them may cause flooding in the vicinity of the Dead Sea later this afternoon and evening.

There will also be a chance of showers down to Mitzpe Rimon and up in the area of Lake Kinneret.

Unfortunately, this is a "hit or miss" type of weather situation, where very small scale atmospheric processes will trigger storms just about anywhere in the area mentioned.  Hence storms are possible, but putting a probability to their occurrence is difficult.

In any case, some of these storms could lead to stream flooding, as 5 to 10 mm could fall in some locations around Jerusalem and the Dead Sea.

On Monday and Tuesday of next week a stronger system will move through, bringing a chance of a more general rainfall.  Will it be termed the "First-Rain?"  We'll have to wait a bit to get closer to the event and then let the "talking-heads" decide.

Barry Lynn