Weather It Is (Mixed Signals)

Good Afternoon:

I hope all met with success in the Jerusalem Marathaton.

Shall I begin an inauspiciosly named blog with the comment that there should be no change in the weather until about Tuesday of next week -- when there might then or might not be a change.

I'm listening to music sung by Nava Moshkori  (The White Rose of Athens).  It reminds me of the days of old, when men were men, women were women, and dogs were just dogs (and didn't demand a seat at the table).  Of course, just like we remember weather events as being bigger than they really were, my guess is that those days were not as glorious as they are made out to be.

Likewise, even though there appears to be no apparent signal, rain chances will actually be on the increase during the latter half of next week. We see many of the GFS ensemble members showing rain, associated with possibly a return to either tropical weather or even more winter weather.  What we don't see (for the moment) is any return to real winter cold.

Interpreting this weather pattern is not so easy, but neither is interpreting wifely requests.  For instance, "did you finish in the kitchen" actually means: "I'm waiting for you to finish the kitchen!" This is after several hours of cooking and several rounds in the dishwasher.  A husband can't work faster than his kitchen appliances can help him.

Likewise, I can't predict any better than the forecast models I use.  One of them (the colder forecast) shows an active southern Jet stream pattern with high pressure building over central Europe, helping to spin up our end of the month storms.

We'll have to wait and see. We'll also have to wait and see if the fine weather will help the bees fertilise the cherry trees, and if this will be a cherry laden year.

Shabbat Shalom,

Barry Lynn