Wednesday, May 7, 2014

Weather It Is (Extended Flood Potential)

Good Afternoon:

High pressure to the north is feeding energy (cold) air into a developing low pressure area over the eastern Mediterranean.  This system will tap both tropical and Mediterranean moisture, and already thunderstorms have developed over the Sinai. Flooding from the Golan southward to the Arava is a strong possibility later today into Thursday afternoon.  In fact, the relatively warm weather combined with high humidity increases the probability of heavy rain.

The storm will remain for a couple of days, and then dissipate as the high moves eastward. Eventually, warm air will flow around the high and low pressure located to our east, but another high mid-late week may spin up another storm, preventing any real hot weather from moving in.

Looking at the probabilities of rain, they are 50% or higher in many locations.  This reflects the general convective nature of the precipitation.  Of course, it will either rain or not.  This is one nice thing about weather forecasting: it's not so hard to assign blame -- I mean a check mark or not.

This is why I think it funny that we're getting blamed for the end of negotiations.  Since then, we've seen articles suggesting that no, it was the Palestinians who were obturate and that they planned to quit along. So, how is that we get blamed for ending the negotiations when they quit?  This seems like a big X for whoever decides these things.

Barry Lynn

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