Weather It Is (Flood Potential)

Good Morning:

We've been speaking about this upcoming weather event for several days now, and it has the potential to bring a heavy cold rain with a strong possibility of flooding, beginning down south in the afternoon, and in the center and north towards evening.

Cold air is moving in, and in fact it may get cold enough for a late wet season snowfall on the higher elevations of the Hermon.  This is an unusual spring time system in that there is strong support for this weather event in both the lower, middle, and upper levels of the atmosphere (850, 700, and 500 mb). Temperatures should drop off by 10 to 15 C by tomorrow morning, as both cold air and plenty of moisture moves in. The rain will begin over the south, as there will be moisture support from the Atlantic ocean and eventually the Mediterranean.

Because we're in the warm season -- but this is a cold season rain -- there is the potential for strong thunderstorms, which will bring the potential for flooding rains, especially in the Arava and area of the Dead Sea.

A chance of showers should continue into Thursday.

Barry Lynn