Monday, March 2, 2015

Weather It Is (Purim Forecast Spiel)

Good Evening (or Good Morning):

It is hard to describe the weather when it seems to be so undecided.  The weather maps are full of wavy patterns, and there is a large divergence among ensemble members.

It reminds me of the decision Queen Ester had to make when Mordechai tells her: "Do not imagine that you will be able to escape in the King's palace any more than the rest of the Jews.  For if you persist in keeping silent at a time like this, relief and deliverance will come to the Jews from some other place."  Was she to go to the King -- or not?

Likewise, our atmosphere seems to be unable to decide between winter, spring, or summer.   Where will deliverance come from for the weather forecaster (like myself) who has to convey weather that might be, could be, or may never be.

For instance, there is a chance of scattered showers Tuesday night and Wednesday as temperatures remain on the cool side.  That is, a shower might be here or there, but not necessarily anywhere.

Temperatures will then warm up through Shabbat, but then low pressure moving across the Mediterranean may make enough progress eastward to put an end to our warm days.  Yet, there is a 50/50 chance that our string of nice days will continue a few days more before enough moisture moves into to turn our sunny skies to rainy skies.

Looking almost two weeks ahead and we see the possibility that high pressure will nose its way further eastward as low pressure in the southern Jet stream seeks to couple to the northern Jet stream. It may all be just a spiel, but it might also be wet, cold, and white.

Barry Lynn


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