Weather It Is (Winter Storm)

Good Evening:

It's certainly the coldest and largest storm to impact our area this winter, and it rivals (or even supersedes in some ways) the storm of January 2013 - and it is only early December.

Today, we're feeling the second stage of this storm with heavy rain producing flooding rain.

The bulk of the cold, arctic air will begin its plunge southward on Wednesday, and bring heavy, heavy rain with strong winds (snow on the Hermon).  On Thursday, temperatures should drop quickly during the day and then drop even more at night.  Snow should reach into the central mountains and other mountain tops throughout the country.

There is (and will always be) some uncertainty about snow amounts, but the coldest air at upper levels should arrive late in the day, and there could be a reinforcing shot of cold air Friday night into Shabbat. This is when wet snow is more likely to become a drier more accumulating snow (but roads can still turn icy during the day on Thursday).

The forecast continues to evolve, and right now we're looking at a 75% probability that the winter event will be just what we're calling for -- a storm to rival last year's snow event, or even more.

Barry Lynn