Wednesday, November 11, 2015

Weather It Is (It looks wintry, but...)

Good Afternoon:

It is a cool 15 Celsius with a stiff wind, making it feel a degree cooler.

We're in a sort of strange situation.  We have cool fall weather interacting with a moisture source from the Arabian Sea (thanks to a very strong El-Nino).  In fact, this El-Nino has led to the formation of two tropical storms that have hit (unprecendently) Yemen.  Usually, our moisture source is from the Mediterranean (and infrequently at this time of year -- with the exception of an occasional Red Sea Trough).  This weather is not a typical of the weather that often effects the eastern United States where storms can tap Gulf of Mexico moisture.

Yet, winter weather will retreat over the next few days and dryer weather will expand northward around warm low pressure located to our south.  This means a respite from the rain and cold temperatures.

The pushing and pulling between weather systems is not that different than what happens in my home.  However, like some people are never satisfied with the weather, others are never satisfied (so it seems) with me (actually, having me around). The other day the wife says to me that she is no longer going to clean the kitchen floor on Wednesday because there always seems to be flour on the floor.  Well, the reason I started making pizza (and bagels) on Wednesday is because I was pushed right out of Thursday.  Strangely, I was pushed out of Friday afternoon so I wouldn't be in the way right before Shabbat, and then I was pushed out of Thursday so I wouldn't stop early preparations for Shabbat.

You probably know that I am on the shorter side of tall.  For this reason I have a very handy stool my mother bought for me years ago.  It's the kind that doesn't slip when you stand on it.  "Oh, you can't reach that," she said?  Why couldn't I reach it? Because my stool had been pushed from a handy place to a far off corner of the kitchen.  One wonders what will happen to me (and the stool) when I am pushed right through the week and out its end (really its beginning).

I am hopeful, though, because I -- like the winter weather -- can always push back and back it will push after a string of beautiful days.  In fact, we see another potential for heavy thunderstorms come Monday or Tuesday as strong low pressure moves eastward into the eastern Mediterranean and taps that southern moisture again.

Following the advent of the storm, the forecast is uncertain. There is a 25% chance that next weeks early storm will be followed by an even colder storm later in the week.

Barry Lynn

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