Friday, February 26, 2016

Weather It Is (Some Weather)

Good Afternoon:

The weather is certainly beautiful. It is the kind of day that makes you want to be outside.

However, the ridge of high pressure responsible for our clear skies will move away as a cool front passes through tonight and tomorrow. The cool temperatures associated with it will give way to a significant warm up as a strong ridge builds into the eastern Mediterranean on Sunday.

Yet, the ridge will be swept away by a strong cold front on Wednesday.  At the moment, only the GFS is indicating heavy rain by the end of next week, while its ensemble of members indicate lighter rain and weaker upper level cold air than the GFS.

The main difference between the models if grid resolution, with the GFS having about 4 times the grid resolution than its ensemble.

In any case, we can see a return to a winter chill, but not much else.

Shabbat Shalom,

Barry Lynn

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