Weather It Is (Soggy Weather)

Good Morning:

Today and tonight's weather will bring periods of rain to the center area, including the coastal areas, the central mountains, and down to Beer-Sheva.  Total rain amounts are expected to exceed 10 mm over the period. Showers may persist on Thursday.

In the north, heavier rain is expected with areas around the Kinneret receiving between 10 and 25 mm, with localized heavier amounts, especially over the mountains.

We're in quite an active weather pattern.  It will stay on the chilly side until Friday, before a quick warm up on Shabbat (relatively speaking), followed by cooler weather and a chance of showers early next week.

Beyond this period, the global ensemble shows that our active weather pattern should continue, with the possibility of a more significant rain towards the end of the month, as well as a return to chilly weather.

It's rather late in the season for chilly weather.  However, a strong and persistent ridge in western Europe is helping to build a trough of colder weather to its east.  At the same time, there is a fairly active southern Jet stream.  As storms move eastward under the ridge, they are able to draw on unseasonably cold air in the trough, adding a bit more than usual for this time of year (cold air related) energy (there is a good baroclinic zone), bringing us first a brief warming and dust, followed by strong winds, chilly temperatures, and periods of rain.

Barry Lynn