Weather It Is (The Exodus and Then What?)

Good Evening:

This morning's 00 GMT forecast indicated that the next few days will be increasingly warm, if not a tad hot in places.  They'll also be dry -- perfect weather for making the Exodus out of Egypt.

But, then, the Egyptians will change their mind and then our backs will be at the wall -- or rather the sea.  But, wait, I am mixing stories, if not metaphors.

Actually, from late Wednesday night until late Thursday night/Friday morning the atmospheric circulation will part and make way for a winter blast of quite chilly, if not very cold air.  Temperatures will drop by about 20 C.  The cold air and likely rain are both courtesy of a "digging" trough from the far reaches of Siberia (as you can see, I even got my geography wrong).

The point is that were going to feel bowled over by the weather changes.  In fact, this morning's forecast indicated a 30 to 40% chance of snow at the higher elevations (including the center).  Theoretically, this means that 3 or 4 times out of 10 that we have this discussion it should snow.  However, the fact that this cold signal is appearing at a time when climatologically speaking it doesn't snow (was said once to) suggest that we may be in for something far off the weather beaten path.  All I can say is that he might have meant that if such a signal appears among the ensemble members, then it must be a strong signal to appear at this time of year.

Don't get your hopes up just yet (if you still want snow rather than Spring), but the next update should be interesting.

Modim L'Simcha,

Barry Lynn