Weather It Is (Living Dangerously)

Good Evening:

Are we standing under an icicle ready to fall?

We know that very heavy rains and gale force winds will be arriving tonight and lasting into tomorrow afternoon (with peak winds from mid-day Thursday into the late afternoon).
Thunderstorms are also likely.

At the moment, one storm from Siberia is racing southwestward to catch another storm  moving southeastward from Scandinavia.  They are expected to merge over southern Turkey and/or just northwest of Cyprus late night before diving southeastward toward us on Thursday.

The latest global ensemble forecast (GEFS) has a position somewhat southward of its previous location for the center of the cold air, and 50 km either way can make a huge difference in the type of precipitation we should receive.

Basically, we're on the edge, waiting to see just how far south the cold air comes, and whether our heavy rain turns to a period of snow or not over the central mountains as Thursday morning moves into Thursday afternoon. In the north, we expect a greater likelihood of snow over the higher peaks of the Galilee.

Stay tuned!