Thursday, February 23, 2012

Weather It Is (Oh, for one degree)

Our last winter storm was quite wet, and it was a pretty cold winter storm.  However, it wasn't nearly as cold as past "real" winter storms that left snow in Jerusalem, and all of Gush Etzion.  Instead, one degree made a big difference in snow amounts, from no real snow in Jerusalem (where is was too warm), to real snow in Efrat -- but that left only a mush -- to accumulating snow in Hebron (where it was coldest).

Unfortunately, as global warming makes its inexorable march towards a warmer world -- see www.noaa.gov for the latest surface temperature measurements and news -- snows of past will become less frequent.

On the other hand, the difference between a real snow and just snow is about three or four degrees Celcius, so a real snow is still possible (at least now). In fact, the global ensemble pegs us at about a 25% chance of a real snow sometime next Tuesday.  Of course, there is a 75 % chance we'll see just plain rain or nothing at all, but some chance is better than no chance, at least in many things.

Until then, enjoy the nice weather until a weak storm heads our way on Erev Shabbat.

Barry Lynn

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