Weather It Is (Not to be a "Nudnik")

Good Afternoon:

They say to be a good weather forecaster one has to be tenacious and very detailed oriented, or perhaps obsessed with details might be more appropriate.  My wife, though, had a different word for it, and the story begins here.

The other night I interrupted her moment of "solitude" with something I thought quite important.  While talking, one of our daughters came by with a request, to which I replied that she should have been in bed two hours before (instead of still wandering the house).  My wife -- being a teacher -- of much knowledge and wisdom remarked that "if the father is a 'nudnik' than the children are nudniks."

Now, I wonder about this.  There is a large debate in the scientific world about the importance of genes versus environment in raising children. I can tell you that my parents are not nudniks, and that I  never heard the word nudnik growing up -- and (actually) not until I was married.  This means that somehow I've spontaneously become a nudnik, and my children (or at least some of them) have now inherited (or rather acquired) this trait from me -- Aristotle and Lemarck not withstanding.

Well, if one must be one, one might as well take advantage of it and I seem to have a ready venue (weather) to express it.

There will rain developing from the north to south tonight and continuing on Shabbat .  Most of the rain will fall from late morning into Sunday along the coastal regions and in the center of the country..

The rain with the next winter system is expected to arrive late Tuesday and temperatures will quickly fall thereafter.  Although the  forecast picture remains a bit fuzzy, we see the likelihood of cold air arriving Tuesday night at lower and middle levels.  During the day on Wednesday, a very strong 500 mb trough will move through and create a period of heavy precipitation.  This may be relatively fast moving (12 hours) or develop and move more slowly (36 hours).  We still can't tell which type of system it will be.   The probability of a wintertime snow storm remains at 60%.

Overall, the chance of a significant snow Tuesday night is 25%, while the chance of snow on Wednesday is 60%.  The snowfall may vary from as much as 12 hours (on Wednesday) to possibly 36 hours into Thursday morning.  Temperatures look to continue  to be quite cold from Wednesday morning and may actually become even colder Thursday morning when there is a possibility of another round of precipitation (most likely snow -- but we need to see later forecasts to be more sure about this). In any case, roads should remain snow and ice covered into Friday (assuming the snow occurs to its possible potential).

Shabbat Shalom,

Barry