Weather It Is (A Snowman, Some Pressure)

Good Morning:

Of course, there are many folks who want to build a snowman.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ZOI1yUGPBQ

or the classic ("Frosty The Snowman"): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjscH2WBWjw


Of course, there are those who don't want anything of the kind, and I hear from of them ("him") often.

Last night, my wife came downstairs in her "deerskin" boots.  When I noticed she said: "I heard it's going to snow next week.  Why does it have to snow? I hate snow."

How can it be you ask?  What would our marriage be like if it snowed more often?

Then, she heads out and says: "it's raining!"  You're forecast is broken.

My daughter asked me if we would have school on Wednesday.  My son says that everyone asks him if it will snow -- and now it better snow or else.

I'd like to escape.  Remember, there is a chance it won't snow and I really don't want to be around if it doesn't.  After all, there are people I know, people I know by sight, and people who I know by e-mail. So, I may just head off to Sunny Florida.  If it rains there, I will head over to Hawaii. If the waves are too large, I'll head down to Australia. Of course, I might be eaten by a crocoliles, so there really is no escape.

Escape from winter, that is.  Our weather maps show rain on Shabbat, with a small possibility of mixed rain and snow Shabbat afternoon, but more likely hail in strong thunderstorms.

We can see now that snow chances are up to about 70% for late Tuesday afternoon into Wednseday morning.  The precipitation amounts predicted by the GFS ensemble are quite large, so even though this may be a single day event, snow amounts could be relatively high (but less than last year by half, most likely).  Temperatures should remain cold at 700 mb through the afternoon, so lighter snow may continue through then.  Temperatures at the surface will remain cold through Thursday, so icing conditions are likely through then as well.

Still, keep in mind that we're not certain about this event, but the latest chances for snow are certainly higher than they were yesterday.

The next forecast will tell us more.  I may then write next time from a warmer climate.

Barry Lynn