Sunday, January 4, 2015

Weather It Is (Winter Storm Warning)

Good Afternoon:

The chance of significant snow is 95% Tuesday night and Wednesday.

There is not much to update with today's forecast. We are still beyond the time period for which we can be anymore certain about snow amounts, and there is still some uncertainty in the strength of the developing 500 mb trough.

However, we can say that the chances for a return to a period of snow Friday Evening (Erev Shabbat) is now quite low.

It appears that the strongest synoptic scale forcing will occur on Wednesday as the coldest temperatures pass overhead at 500 mb. Winds will be very strong (Gale Force) Tuesday night and Wednesday.  There is a 75% chance that significant snow will continue to fall past midnight on Wednesday night.  There is a slight chance that significant snow will continue until Thursday morning, although periods of light snow are possible.

Surface temperatures in the southern, central and northern mountains will remain quite cold into Friday, and road surfaces might freeze and unfreeze at any time (depending on the exact local temperature).

Travel in the mountainous areas will likely be impossible without chains or four wheel drive vehicles.

Barry Lynn

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