Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Weather It Is (Cold and Snow (in Gush Etzion))

Good Afternoon:

Light rain has developed in advance of an upper level trough.  It will be followed by the coldest weather of the year by Thursday morning.

The cold will last into Friday morning.

The highest resolution model is predicting that a few centimetres of snow will accumulate in the higher elevations, most likely in Gush Etzion.  Our ensemble indicates that the probability of heavy(snow producing) precipitation is 60%.  The amount of accumulation will depend strongly on localised differences in elevation and location relative to the strongest snow showers.

Temperatures should fall below freezing in the late afternoon -- so roads may become icy.

Temperatures will moderate by Shabbat and rise steadily until mid next week.  At that point, spring might appear to have sprung as there is an 80% chance that temperatures will warm up significantly and stay that way until a storm possibly approaches two weeks from now.

Barry Lynn


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