Thursday, February 19, 2015

Weather It Is (Evening Update)

Good Evening:

Forecast temperatures are consistent with past forecast output.

The 4 km ensemble and 1.3km forecasts still show the heaviest precipitation to fall from about 02:00 in the morning to about 11:00 AM. We still show warming morning and afternoon temperatures.  If this occurs, snow amounts will be closer to what we predicted compared to other forecasters.

Also, precipitation amounts are bit lower than previous forecasts. I tend to believe, though, that the 06 GMT update is not quite as accurate as the others (as there are fewer airplane observations over Europe).

Good night,

Barry

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