Weather It Is (Feb. 11: A Quick Update)

Good Afternoon:

There has been very little change in the model forecast output during the last day. other than to add or subtract a bit of precipitation from the Jerusalem area.

The IMS radar shows intense bands of precipitation inland from Netanya northward along the Israel coast. The band is just off shore of Tel-Aviv and will be impacting this city with heavy rain and strong winds quite soon.

The radar shows some bands of precipitation over the northern Arava south of Beer-Sheva. There are also bands of precipitation off the coast of Ashdod.

The forecast continues to show the heavy precipitation and very strong winds over the northern half of the country with heavy dust south of the precipitation cut-off.  However, the forecast also shows some of the precipitation making its way into the Jerusalem area within a few hours.  When these bands of precipitation arrive, they could whiten the ground and add a slushy layer to the streets.

Whether the convection from Tel-Aviv South is an omen for heavier precipitation in Jerusalem and vicinity will need to wait for another forecast or for reality to intrude and write its own history.

Barry Lynn