Monday, February 9, 2015

Weather It Is (Severe Storm Update)



Summary and Conclusions:

1a) Severe Wind Warning for central and northern coastal regions from mid afternoon Tuesday until Wednesday night.  Sustained winds of 60 to 80 km/h with higher gusts (close to 100 -- 110 km/h).

1b) Inland Wind Warning: Inland winds (Sefad, Jerusalem, Golan) will be between 40 to 60 km/h (with some higher gusts).

2) Heavy rainfall from Tel-Aviv eastward to the Hermon.

By 20 IST Wednesday Evening:

Tel Aviv, Netanya, and Haifa: 25-50 cm

Inland areas: 50-100 cm.

3a) Area of Sefad, Galilee peaks: Potential for heavy, heavy snow.  However, accumulations may be limited to be between 10 and 25 cm because of melting. Snowfall amounts will be highly elevation dependent. 

3b) The same area will have extreme rainfall, with > 100 ml. 

3c) Flooding potential in cities and in Jordan Valley Wednesday into Thursday morning.

3d) Expect lightning in convective storms along the coast and inland areas.

4) Golan and Hermon:  Expect 25 to 50 cm of snow by 20 IST Wednesday evening.

The storm will continue on Thursday with more snow on Golan and Hermon, and possible in Sefad on Friday morning.

5) Jerusalem:  Because of an atmospheric confluence zone, Jerusalem should be spared the heaviest precipitation. There is only a chance of snow Wednesday evening and Friday morning. Otherwise, rain. We'll monitor the storm for any movement further south.

Barry Lynn

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.