Monday, February 9, 2015

Weather It Is (Winter Storm Warning for Center Cancelled)

Good Morning:

Winter Storm Warning for the Center cancelled.  Strong winds still expected.

We can now see some of the details about this storm.

If you live in the northern Mountains, including Sefad and possibly Yad Binyamin, you're in for a lot of precipitation, and quite possibly a lot of snow.  In fact, we show 10 -25 cm of snow in many locations in the north, and 50 - 100 cm in Hermon.

However, it now appears that the storm may only graze the center of the country. While heavy precipitation should arrive from the northwest late Tuesday night, and spread to the south towards Tel-Aviv during the day, the storm now looks to have a sharp cutoff between the heaviest precipitation and the lighter precipitation on its southeast flank.  This is the confluence zone between winds from the northwest and those from the southwest.

While there may be a period of snow Wednesday evening into Wednesday night in the center, temperatures will probably warm up enough towards morning to turn the snow to rain.  Rain or wet snow/rain will continue into Shabbat.

Only a turn to the south would bring the storm into areas central and south, and this is not expected at this time.

Barry Lynn

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